Sunday, March 22, 2009

Scares, but Nothing Doing


Top seeds given scare
Find way to make the big play
Upsets are extinct

(A Haggy Haiku)

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Try this for mind boggling.
The first two rounds of NCAA Tournament play have been like returning home after a day at the office and realizing everything is as you left it; as it's supposed to be.
Only one school seeded higher than fifth is still alive, and the top four seeds from two regions were unharmed.
Teams, after all, are ranked based on their talent and play during the season and respective conference tournaments. Surely the higher seeds should win.
Still, something seems amiss. Such as the feeling experienced when you think that you maybe left the garage door open.
To find when a similar scenario last played out, we must travel all the way back to the year in which the Cold War ended and Nintendo was re-launched: 1989.
Back then, No. 11 Minnesota represented the lone hope for upset-seekers across the country. Now, it's 12th-seeded Arizona (whose history is anything but surprising or Cinderella-like, having reached the Big Dance in 25 consecutive seasons and won the national title in 1997).
Teams like Louisville, Missouri, Pittsburgh, Duke, Gonzaga and Michigan State struggled this past weekend to pull away from lower seeded opponents.
In the end, they all came through.
By comparison, the 2008 tournament saw four teams seeded higher than fifth in the regional semifinals, including two 12-seeds (Villanova and Western Kentucky), a 10-seed (Davidson) and a 7-seed (West Virginia).
Even in a tamer 2007, where no double-figure seeds reached the Sweet Sixteen, only one region advanced all of the top four teams.
2009 could be an anomaly. It's one year. Hardly a trend.
But for this year, at least, the upset is dead.

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